In support of your thesis when James Kanagassooriam identified "The Red Wall" he did so by looking at the people who lived in a number of constituencies Labour held and noticed that their characteristics suggested that they would be expected to vote Conservative but did not. He did not start from an assumption that constituencies rather than characteristics of voters mattered.
It's similar to a basic marketing principle: customer retention is much easier than customer acquisition. If they have tried you once, they are inclined to try you again unless you make it hard for them. Great piece of analysis
Thank you for this very interesting analysis. What do you think Labour can learn from it that would help it to avoid some truly disastrous results in London next May?
There are 632 constituencies in GB, so if the BES are covering 630, they’re missing 2, with presumably 1 Labour.
In support of your thesis when James Kanagassooriam identified "The Red Wall" he did so by looking at the people who lived in a number of constituencies Labour held and noticed that their characteristics suggested that they would be expected to vote Conservative but did not. He did not start from an assumption that constituencies rather than characteristics of voters mattered.
It's similar to a basic marketing principle: customer retention is much easier than customer acquisition. If they have tried you once, they are inclined to try you again unless you make it hard for them. Great piece of analysis
Thank you for this very interesting analysis. What do you think Labour can learn from it that would help it to avoid some truly disastrous results in London next May?